World Cup Update - After 11/24 Matches

 Richarlison... goal of the tournament already???

In what is likely the least surprising day of games so far this tournament, Group G finished with a pair of wins by the favorites in either game.  Brazil looked very strong, and this group is still gearing up for a dramatic round 3 matchup between Switzerland and Serbia (40.4% and 34.1% likelihood to win that game, in order).

Group H was only slightly more interesting, with South Korea providing a slight upset drawing Uruguay.  This raised their odds to advance by 6.3%, nothing to sneeze at.  Portugal beat Ghana and pretty much held water with regards to the forecast (although it was not lacking drama).

Model Summary

Group Stage Forecast

Odds Changes by Group

Knockout Stage Projection

Forecast for tomorrow's games