Euros '24 FINAL

 Sup y'all!!!

It's finals time!!! After somewhat of a wild tournament we are down to the final 2 teams.  As a constant predictor of "it isn't coming home" it seems my back is against the metaphorical wall.  Spain and England have gotten to the final in very different ways, but both are not surprises.  They were the #2 and #5 favorite in the model coming into Euros, with a 21.5% and 16.4% chance to make the finals respectively.  Per the model Spain are approximately 2/3 favorites over England with 1/3 chance.  About a 25% chance that the game will go to penalties, and at that point it'll essentially be a tossup.

Model

Final Forecast

Chances of Coming Home: Way higher than predicted a month ago

Hope everyone enjoys the game!!!